Iran crypto market sees 700% rise in withdrawals after strikes and stablecoin suspension

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Tejaswini Deshmukh
Tejaswini Deshmukh
Tejaswini Deshmukh is the contributing editor of RegTech Times, specializing in defense, regulations and technologies. She analyzes military innovations, cybersecurity threats, and geopolitical risks shaping national security. With a Master’s from Pune University, she closely tracks defense policies, sanctions, and enforcement actions. She is also a Certified Sanctions Screening Expert. Her work highlights regulatory challenges in defense technology and global security frameworks. Tejaswini provides sharp insights into emerging threats and compliance in the defense sector.

Iranian crypto markets faced sudden disruption after coordinated U.S. and Israeli military strikes. In the 48 hours that followed, crypto exchange outflows in the country jumped by 700%. Nearly $3 million worth of digital assets moved off Iran’s largest exchange as users rushed to withdraw funds.

The spike occurred on Nobitex, the country’s biggest cryptocurrency trading platform. Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic reported the activity in a blog post, describing a sharp rise in withdrawals immediately after the strikes began.

This surge happened despite a dramatic fall in overall trading activity. Between February 27 and March 1, transaction volumes across Iranian exchanges dropped by about 80%. The decline was linked to strict internet restrictions imposed during the crisis. Many users struggled to access trading platforms.

Even with limited connectivity, those who managed to log in focused on moving assets out rather than trading.

Iranian Crypto Exchange Outflows Rise Despite 80% Volume Drop

Data shows that net outflows from Nobitex increased sevenfold within two days of the military action. Around $3 million left the platform in that short period. This type of rapid withdrawal is often described as capital flight, where users transfer funds quickly during times of uncertainty.

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At the same time, blockchain data cited by Elliptic indicates that 5.9% of exchange volume in Iran is now linked to illicit or sanctioned activity. That figure adds another layer of concern around compliance and monitoring.

Another blockchain intelligence firm, TRM Labs, attributed the sharp drop in trading activity to “mechanical access limitations.” This means the slowdown was mainly due to restricted internet access rather than a breakdown of exchange systems.

However, the withdrawal surge shows that users who could access their accounts prioritized securing funds. Instead of waiting for market movements, they chose to move assets off local exchanges.

Globally, Bitcoin prices rebounded quickly after the initial shock of the strikes, erasing earlier losses. Yet local Iranian traders acted immediately, focusing on transferring assets rather than speculating on price recovery.

USDT Suspension Highlights Sanctions Risk

The stablecoin USDT plays a central role in this situation. USDT is issued by Tether and is designed to maintain a value equal to one U.S. dollar. Because it is stable and widely accepted, it is often used as a bridge between local currencies and the global crypto market.

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In Iran, USDT connects the Iranian toman to international digital assets. Recognizing the risk, the country’s central bank directed major exchanges, including Nobitex and Wallex, to suspend USDT/toman trading pairs. This action effectively froze the main pathway linking domestic fiat currency to global crypto liquidity.

USDT is widely used in the regions facing sanctions because it allows fast cross-border transfers without relying on traditional banks. However, this also draws attention from regulators. Monitoring agencies, including the Office of Foreign Assets Control, have become increasingly advanced at tracking blockchain transactions tied to sanctioned entities.

The suspension of USDT trading pairs suggests concerns over exposure to sanctions enforcement. With 5.9% of volume linked to illicit or sanctioned activity, compliance risks have intensified.

Large withdrawals can also strain exchange liquidity. When users remove funds quickly, order books thin out and confidence in local platforms can weaken. The combination of internet restrictions, suspended USDT pairs, and a 700% surge in outflows occurred within a short window.

The data reflects a period of acute stress in Iran’s crypto market, where reduced trading activity coincided with rapid capital movement away from domestic exchanges.

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