Trump’s Bold 25% Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Oil Exemption Still Uncertain

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Tejaswini Deshmukh
Tejaswini Deshmukh
Tejaswini Deshmukh is an editor at RegTech Times, covering financial crimes, sanctions, and regulatory developments. She specializes in RegTech advancements, compliance challenges, and financial enforcement actions.

US President Donald Trump has announced his plan to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, a decision that is set to take effect on February 1. However, there is still some uncertainty around whether oil, which is a major import from both countries, will be included in these new tariffs. Trump stated that he would decide on the oil exemption depending on oil prices and how he feels Canada and Mexico “treat” the United States.

Tariffs to Address Major Issues

President Trump has explained that the new tariffs on Canada and Mexico are aimed at addressing several serious issues the United States faces. The first reason he provided was illegal migration, stating that a large number of people have been crossing the border from Mexico into the US. Trump emphasized the importance of controlling the flow of people coming into the country, suggesting that the tariffs would act as a deterrent.

In addition to migration, Trump also pointed to the problem of illegal drugs, particularly fentanyl, as a major concern. Fentanyl, a potent synthetic opioid, has been responsible for a significant number of overdose deaths in the United States. Trump claimed that a large portion of this drug is coming into the country from Mexico and that the tariffs were a way to fight this issue.

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Lastly, Trump criticized the trade relationship with both countries, claiming that the US is giving too much in subsidies to Canada and Mexico in the form of trade deficits. He believes that these tariffs will help level the playing field and ensure the US is not being taken advantage of.

Oil Exemption Still in the Works

While Trump has made it clear that the tariffs will be put into place on February 1, he is still unsure whether oil imports from Canada and Mexico will be affected. In October, the United States imported nearly 4.6 million barrels of oil from Canada and 563,000 barrels from Mexico. Trump has expressed that the US does not “need” oil from these countries since the US produces enough oil domestically. However, he said he would be making a decision based on oil prices and other factors.

Trump suggested that his decision on whether to impose tariffs on oil would also depend on whether Canada and Mexico “treat” the United States properly. If the US is satisfied with how these countries are cooperating with the US, Trump may choose to exempt oil from the new tariffs. The uncertainty surrounding this decision adds another layer of complexity to the tariff plans, leaving both Canadian and Mexican governments waiting for clarity on the matter.

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Tariffs on China and Other Countries

The president also indicated that he would continue with the tariffs imposed on China, another major trade partner. Trump has previously said that the tariffs on Chinese goods would be 10%. He explained that part of the reason for the tariffs on China is the flow of fentanyl coming into the United States from that country. Trump stated that fentanyl is responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US, and he believes that China needs to take responsibility for the ongoing crisis. Trump hinted that a new tariff on China would be linked to this issue, with the aim of forcing China to stop sending fentanyl into the country.

While there is no specific timeline yet for the new tariffs on China, Trump’s statements signal that these measures are coming soon. Like the tariffs on Canada and Mexico, these measures are designed to address serious issues like illegal drug imports and trade imbalances. It remains to be seen how other countries might react to the tariff announcements and what the global trade landscape will look like moving forward.

In the meantime, the uncertainty about oil tariffs on Canada and Mexico continues to hang in the air. The next few days could bring more clarity to these trade matters as President Trump makes his final decision on oil and other potential exemptions.

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