The Alarming Threat: How China’s Scientific Advancements Endanger US Supremacy

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Mayur Joshi
Mayur Joshihttp://www.mayurjoshi.com
Mayur Joshi is a contributing editor to Regtechtimes, he is recognized for his insightful reporting and analysis on financial crimes, particularly in the realms of espionage and sanctions. Mayur's expertise extends globally, with a notable focus on the sanctions imposed by OFAC, as well as those from the US, UK, and Australia. He is also regular contributor on Geopolitical subjects and have been writing about China. He has authored seven books on financial crimes and compliance, solidifying his reputation as a thought leader in the industry. One of his significant contributions is designing India's first certification program in Anti-Money Laundering, highlighting his commitment to enhancing AML practices. His book on global sanctions further underscores his deep knowledge and influence in the field of regtech.

In the atrium of a research building at the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) in Beijing, a wall of patents showcases China’s scientific advancements. CAS, the world’s largest research organization, along with institutions across China, produces substantial research into the biology of food crops. Chinese scientists have made significant breakthroughs, such as discovering genes that improve crop yield and resilience.

This focus on agricultural research is part of the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) strategy to ensure the country’s food security. Over the past decade, China has emerged as a leader in crop research, reflecting its broader rise in the global scientific landscape.

The Rise of China as a Scientific Superpower

In 2019, The Economist examined China’s potential to become a scientific superpower. Today, it is clear that China has achieved this status. Chinese scientists have gained prominence in high-quality science measures, surpassing both the United States and the European Union in producing high-impact papers. According to data from Clarivate, China now leads in the number of high-impact papers, a significant leap from its position two decades ago.

Metrics based on citations can be manipulated, but China also excels in less gameable benchmarks. The Nature Index, which measures contributions to prestigious journals, now ranks China at the top. The Leiden Ranking also lists several Chinese universities among the world’s top institutions, reflecting China’s growing influence in scientific research. Universities such as Tsinghua, Shanghai Jiao Tong, Zhejiang, and Peking are becoming as renowned as Western institutions like Cambridge, Harvard, and ETH Zurich.

Scientific Advancements in Different Fields

China leads the world in physical sciences, chemistry, and Earth and environmental sciences. It dominates publications on advanced technologies such as perovskite solar panels and hydrogen extraction from seawater. China also excels in quantum computing, with research teams achieving significant breakthroughs, such as setting a record for the number of entangled quantum bits.

China’s patent production has surged, though many are incremental improvements rather than groundbreaking inventions. However, its strong industrial base and cheap energy allow for rapid large-scale production of innovations. This industrial advantage is complemented by China’s impressive scientific infrastructure, including the world’s most sensitive ultra-high-energy cosmic-ray detector and the strongest steady-state magnetic field.

Strategic Investments in Science and Technology

China’s scientific advancements are driven by strategic investments in three areas: money, equipment, and people. Since 2000, China’s spending on research and development (R&D) has grown 16-fold. Although overall R&D spending still lags behind the US, China’s investments in universities and government institutions are now higher. The CCP meticulously directs funding into strategic areas such as quantum technologies, artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductors, and biotechnology.

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Initiatives like “Project 211,” the “985 program,” and the “China Nine League” have bolstered research capabilities at selected institutions.

Project 211

Project 211 is a Chinese government initiative launched in 1995 to enhance the quality and research capabilities of around 100 universities, aiming to make them globally competitive. It involves substantial funding and resources to improve facilities, faculty, and academic disciplines. The project aims to support China’s socio-economic development and scientific advancements.

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985 Program

The 985 Program is a Chinese higher education initiative launched in May 1998 to develop world-class universities and advanced research centers. It provided significant funding to a select group of universities to enhance their global competitiveness. This program aimed to elevate China’s higher education standards and foster innovation and research excellence.

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China Nine League

The China Nine League, or C9 League, is an alliance of nine top Chinese universities aimed at promoting excellence in research and education. Formed in 2009, it is often referred to as China’s equivalent to the Ivy League, focusing on fostering academic collaboration and international competitiveness. The C9 League includes institutions like Peking University and Tsinghua University.

These initiatives, along with substantial financial incentives for publishing in high-impact journals, have transformed Chinese universities into research powerhouses. The influx of returning Chinese scientists, often referred to as “sea turtles,” has further strengthened the country’s scientific advancements. Incentive programs like the “Youth Thousand Talents” have successfully attracted high-caliber researchers back to China.

The Double-Edged Sword of Chinese Science

China’s scientific rise poses both opportunities and threats for the US and other Western countries. On the one hand, collaboration with Chinese scientists has led to significant breakthroughs, such as the development of rapid COVID-19 tests and the identification of antibiotic-resistant genes. On the other hand, China’s scientific system is closely linked with its state and military, raising concerns about intellectual property theft and national security.

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The US and Europe have responded by limiting collaborations with Chinese institutions and imposing stricter regulations on Chinese researchers. However, the scientific community overwhelmingly supports continued collaboration, recognizing the mutual benefits. Closing the door to Chinese researchers would harm Western science, which relies heavily on international talent.

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China’s scientific advancements are poised to continue growing. Despite potential economic challenges and geopolitical tensions, China’s investments in science and technology show no signs of slowing. The country is producing an increasing number of highly trained scientists and continues to expand its state-of-the-art research infrastructure.

As China’s scientific influence expands, the US and its allies must navigate the complex landscape of competition and collaboration. Ensuring national security while fostering international scientific cooperation will be critical in maintaining global scientific progress. The rise of Chinese science is a testament to the power of strategic investments and a reminder of the dynamic nature of global scientific leadership.

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